World Watch Today

What Will Egypt Do About Israel & Gaza?

Steven LeBlanc

Egypt is debating on what to do about the Gaza crisis. Egypt supports the terrorist leadership Hamas, that rules the Gaza strip—but the question is how much support does Egypt give to Hamas? Egypt has a relationship with Israel that needs to be respected—too much support thrown Hamas’ way can do damage. The great concern for Israel is that weapons are being smuggled across the Egyptian border by Jihadists, and getting into the hands of Hamas in Gaza—these weapons, including short ranged missiles, are being used against Israel.

Hamas is the Palestinian version of the Muslim Brotherhood. The Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood now presides over the whole nation of Egypt and must take into account security concerns regarding the border with Israel. So Egypt is wrestling with supporting Hamas without ruining its relationship with Israel.

Egypt has a treaty with Israel, and cannot afford to see fighting in Gaza spill over into Egypt. Or worst of all, Egypt cannot afford a war right now with Israel. The Morsi government in Egypt is in the process of solidifying its power, and Egypt has severe financial problems—they do not want to be drawn into a war with anyone.

At the same time, the Morsi government in Egypt cannot afford to abandon Hamas. The Brotherhood’s Islamist reputation is weakened if it is seen as not helping Hamas and the citizens of Gaza. Salafists and the Jihadists in Egypt would use the opportunity to show that the Brotherhood ruling in Egypt is weak—and what Egypt needs is a strong strict Sharia oriented government (a government ruled by Jihadists) that fully supports Hamas against Israel. Remember, the Morsi government has its enemies in Egypt; those enemies are Jihadist Muslims who want to rule the nation.

Ever since Morsi became president, an overarching concern has been how he will handle the Egyptian-Israeli relationship. The question that remains is will the Brotherhood-led administration seek to have a workable relationship with Israel? Maintaining a relationship with Israel is Egypt’s best and most pragmatic solution.

There will come a time when Egypt will turn on Israel, and in the not too distant future a European power (the beast) will move into the Middle East and take control of the Egyptian nation: Daniel 11:41-43: He shall also enter the Glorious Land, and many countries shall be overthrown; but these shall escape from his hand: Edom, Moab, and the prominent people of Ammon. 42 He shall stretch out his hand against the countries, and the land of Egypt shall not escape. 43 He shall have power over the treasures of gold and silver, and over all the precious things of Egypt…

What will Egypt do about Gaza? Israel and the world is watching.

Will Israel Be Drawn into Syrian Civil War?

Steven LeBlanc

Israel fires into Syria: view video below:

Why Lebanon is Important

Steven LeBlanc

The series of blasts that have targeted Alawite-dominated areas in the Syrian capital Damascus over the past days aim to fan the flames of sectarian anger in the country.
At least 11 people were killed and scores of others wounded when a booby-trapped car sliced through Damascus’ al-Mazeh 86 district, a district known for being dominated by the Alawite minority, to which Syrian President Bashar al-Assad belongs.

But most disturbing was the October 19th assassination of Sunni General Wissam al-Hassan in Lebanon–a reminder of just how fragile the peace in Lebanon is. Wissam al-Hassan, a top Lebanese security official was a longtime critic of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad; he paid with his life for criticizing Assad.

The Sunni community was enraged by the act—Syria is ruled by the Al Assad family which is a friend of Iran. Could this be a forerunner of things to come in Lebanon—a renewed Shia, Sunni war that could again ravage that tiny nation?

The fear is that the Syrian civil war may spread to Lebanon…this in turn could create a panic in the world oil markets. Syria still exerts considerable political clout in Lebanon despite having withdrawn its troops in 2005.

Lebanon is a tiny country that lies just north of Israel, it has a population of just 4.3 million people. The country is held together by a loose cabal of adversarial factions. The country recognizes 17 religious sects. 27% of the population is Sunni; 27% Shia; 41% Christian; 5% Druze. Ethnic loyalty far outweighs any loyalty to the State. People look to Militias to protect them.

Intelligence sources are reporting that a growing number of Sunnis are looking to extreme Islamist groups to serve as that protective hallo. Tensions between Sunnis and Shiites is rising. Don’t forget that the Shiite militia in Lebanon and political movement is backed by Iran and Syria.

Lebanon could quickly erupt into civil war. As Syrian President Bashar al Assad’s regime falters, Shiite militant group Hezbollah is working on a strategy to ensure its long-term survival. Hezbollah’s goal is to maintain a strong military, and economic presence in Lebanon; Iran shares Hezbollah’s aim of ensuring that the militant group maintains a strong long-term presence in the Levant.

Sunnis on both sides of the Syria-Lebanon border, are being encouraged by Turkey, Saudi Arabia, France and the United States, to take advantage of Hezbollah’s dilemma. Syria is struggling to survive and cannot offer Hezbollah the support it once enjoyed. Iran still supports Hezbollah, but Iran is having financial problems and is limited in its ability to aid their friends.

Looking at the wider Middle East landscape–Arab unity is a rare occurrence, but slowly a common goal is bringing the different peoples of the Arab world together. This common purpose is the desire to destroy the nation of Israel and its greatest friend, the United States.

In the future Lebanon will be involved with other Arab nations in a push to destroy Israel. Read Psalm 83: 4,6-8–The prophecy reads, in part, “Come, let us wipe them out as a nation; let the name of Israel be remembered no more…The tents of Edom and the Ishmaelites; Moab and the Hagrites; Gebal, Ammon, and Amalek; Philistia with the inhabitants of Tyre; Assyria also has joined with them; they have helped the children of Lot”

Lebanon (Gebal) and Tyre play a prominent role in Psalm 83. Gebal was an important Phoenician port city “between Sidon and Arvad (see Josh. 13:5; 1 Kin. 5:18). It was called Byblos by the Greeks and Romans, and Gubla by the Assyrians and Babylonians.” The Phoenician city is today known as Jbail or Jubayl in Lebanon, 25 miles north of Beirut.

Why is Lebanon important? It is the home of the terrorist regime Hezbollah—it is highly probable that Hezbollah will go to war against Israel in the near future. A new civil war in that tiny country would create a much greater uncertainty in the Middle East—and uncertainty in that part of the world almost always leads to war. Syria is unraveling—Lebanon may be next, Israel is deeply concerned that civil wars may bring even more dangerous leaders into positions of power.

Why Would Israel Attack Sudan?

Steven LeBlanc

The Sudanese government has accused Israel of bombing the Yarmouk arms factory in Khartoum, where explosions killed several people. Assuming Israel did attack, Why would Israel attack deep into Sudan?

The nation of Sudan is known as a transit country for Iranian weapons. Terrorists sympathetic to Iran move weapons through the desert into Egypt, and then these weapons are smuggled into Gaza to be used by Hamas to harm Israel. A top Israeli defense official labeled Sudan a “dangerous terrorist state”. The factory is thought to have ties to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, and is said to be staffed by Iranians.

Iran is feeding the missile arsenal of its proxies: Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Israel’s Gaza strip, Syria and Sudan in an effort to prepare for an Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear sites. Attacks by Hamas and other groups in Gaza using weapons smuggled into the Gaza Strip from Sudan via the Sinai desert pose a clear threat to Israel.

Iran has also used the nations of Eritrea and Djibouti to smuggle arms—East Africa’s porous borders make smuggling along land routes relatively simple and less vulnerable to an Israeli attack.

The alleged aerial bombardment of the Sudanese weapons factory was seen as a test run for a larger strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, according to a report in London’s Sunday Times:

http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/news/world_news/Middle_East/article1156457.ece

Matthew 24:7 will only continue to escalate: “Nation will go to war against nation, and kingdom against kingdom…”– Middle East tensions extend into Africa.

Oil Fear-Saudi Arabia

Steven LeBlanc


Video streaming by Ustream

Saudi Arabia is in trouble, but this does not mean the collapse of the nation is imminent; yet major problems regarding oil will impact the House of Saud in the next few years. Of course trouble in Saudi Arabia will mean trouble for the whole world since Saudi Arabia is one of the world’s biggest producers of oil. Most importantly, Saudi Arabia is the world’s “swing producer,” balancing international oil demand and supply. The Saudis keep several million barrels per day (bpd) of idle capacity on hand for emergencies such as a war in the Middle East or trouble out of Nigeria (one of the world’s biggest oil producers).

The world’s biggest crude exporter will most likely become an oil importer in the next 20 years, according to Citigroup Inc. Economic growth in the country means the Saudis are using more oil. But a larger problem weighs upon the leadership of the nation: The population of Saudi Arabia has swelled—in 1972 the country had 6 million citizens, today the nation has 28 million Saudis.

As the nation grows the country uses more and more oil. A huge amount of oil money is given by the government to citizens to buttress Arabia’s “welfare” state. When protestors demonstrated in support of the ‘Arab Spring’ King Abdullah pacified the crowds with increased payrolls and unemployment handouts (130 billion dollars worth). This calmed the crowds—but even Saudi Arabia has only so much oil money to give out. You cannot buy off the citizens forever.

The Bible tells us that a likely Islamic power will eventually provoke a European power to move into the Middle East thus occupying much of Israel and surrounding Arab nations (Daniel 11:40-44). We keep our eyes on the countries that produce oil and consume the commodity in large quantities because oil may be used as a weapon along with other tactics that “pushes” or provokes this European Beast power to move its headquarters into the Middle East. Here we are told that “the king of the South” will push against “the King of the North”—this pushing (provocation) will cause the Beast power to invade the Middle East where “many countries will be overthrown.”

The world is so heavily dependent on oil and petroleum products—oil is bound to figure into the dynamics of nation against nation as prophesied in Matthew 24:7. Keep your eye on Saudi Arabia!

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