World Watch Today

Watching Germany in 2017

02 09 2017

Angela Merkel Chancellor of Germany, and opposing AFD party leader Frauke Petry

Remember what George Friedman has said about Germany, (Mr. Friedman may be the world’s most insightful global strategist)—he has written several books on Geopolitics and is a very popular speaker. He is Jewish, he was born in Hungary, but now lives here in the United States. He is an expert on world trends and world affairs. He excels at geopolitical analysis, and forecasting—that is why I read everything he writes.

Mr. Friedman says Germany is the pivot of the world. Remember, Germany is the fourth largest economy in the world, Germany is the largest economy in Europe, Germany is the biggest bank lender in Europe, and Germany is the only true anchor of European stability. Most importantly, Germany is the dominant power in Europe today. Russia, France, Britain, and Italy do not come close to exercising the economic or political clout of Germany.

If Germany weakens or destabilizes economically or politically; Europe destabilizes, and it is not too extreme to say that if Europe destabilizes or spirals into political chaos, the world can spiral into chaos and even war. Europe is a volcano that can, at any time erupt. Historically the personality of Europe is one of war.

Europe as a continent has seen more wars fought on its home turf than the continents of Asia, Africa, and the Americas combined. Over the past 500 years over 350 wars have been fought on European soil. History tells us that the 20th century comprised the bloodiest years the world has ever seen. The two great wars, World War I and World War II, began on the continent of Europe. Over 16 million died in World War I, and conservative estimates place the death toll of World War II at 55 million. Most of these deaths took place within the European theater. Germany of course, was heavily involved in both wars.

The simple fact to remember is this: The EU (the 28 nations of Europe—composed of 500 million Europeans) is built around a massive exporter, and that exporter is Germany. That makes the EU vulnerable to drops in demand for exports. This is important: Germany derives almost 50 percent of its GDP from exports. As Europe, has weakened economically, Germany has transferred its export focus to the United States and, to a lesser extent, China. If the U.S. is cutting imports from Germany, Germany’s economy will be affected rapidly and we think dramatically. The Germans are addicted to exports and therefore utterly at the mercy of their external customers. Their last major customer with a healthy economy is the United States. If the United States cuts purchases, the German economy will be hit hard because Germany can’t increase domestic consumption enough to compensate. And if a mini-trade war erupts between America and Germany…this could devastate the German economy. German Chancellor Angela Merkel has sent several high-ranking emissaries to Washington. President Trump believes that Germany has gotten the upper hand with America when it comes to trade. The Trump presidency worries the Germany leadership.

On the religious front, many are unaware that Germany is a major financial supporter of the Roman Catholic Church. No nation other than America, gives more each year to the Catholic Church. Why is this important? Because prophecy reveals that a formidable European agreement with the Catholic Church – a concordat between the Beast and the false Church – will soon be forged. Money and politics are the best of friends. But a closer relationship between Germany and the Vatican is yet in the future.

We are watching this closely: Germany is making moves on the military front. President Trump is not the first U.S. president to demand more defense spending from NATO’s European members. He is, however, the first to openly label the NATO alliance “obsolete” and to hint that the United States might refuse to protect members that fail to meet the NATO defense spending target of 2 percent of GDP. On Jan. 18, Germany’s defense minister announced that Berlin would boost its military budget this year by nearly 2 billion euros ($2.1 billion) to reach 37 billion euros. Germany has vowed to continue increasing defense expenditures over the next three years. Germany is almost forced to focus more of its attention on defense.

And finally, the European press is calling the German elections this fall as the most important election cycle in the last 60 years. Right now, Mrs. Merkel has a comfortable lead in the polls. But should we get more terrorist attacks in Germany, her lead could evaporate very quickly.

The Bible shows that Germany, in the near future, will again use the Roman Catholic Church to help forge a unified European “Beast” (Revelation 13; 17:1–7), much as was done under Charlemagne. This emerging global power will become an international economic power (Revelation 18:2-3, 9-14), and will use that power for political purposes. It will appear peaceful at first, but will be changed into a destroying, war-making beast (Daniel 11:21; Revelation 13:2-3; Revelation 17:12-14). Daniel describes this end-time kingdom as a strong and cruel beast with “iron teeth,” which Christ will conquer and punish at His return (Daniel 7:7, 19-23). —Steven LeBlanc

President Trump's promise to destroy ISIS.

01 28 2017Men digging their own graves

During President Donald Trump’s inauguration speech, he restated his promise to destroy the Islamic State. But what is the President’s strategy?

IS is a Sunni movement, predominantly located in Syria and Iraq, committed to re-establishing the caliphate and dominating the Islamic world. It has established an adjoining area of control stretching from Palmyra to Mosul. Its capital is Raqqa, Syria. IS maintains basic services, raises taxes, conducts kidnappings for ransom and conducts trade. If it succeeds in uniting the Islamic world under a caliphate, it could represent a global challenge. IS would have to defeat Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Iran and Israel if it were to succeed in expanding its caliphate. That is just not going to happen. Also continue to keep in mind that Iran, is Shia. And it is watching IS very closely.

Here is a brief update on IS activity:

●ISIS is responsible for the deaths of more than 1,000 people outside of Iraq and Syria. [The New York Times, July 16, 2016]
●In 2014, ISIS was operating in some seven nations. Today they are fully operational in 18 countries with aspiring branches in six more regions, for a total of 24 branches. [NBC News, Aug. 8, 2016]
●Iran, the world’s largest state sponsor of terrorism, is now flush with $150 billion in cash released by the United States – plus another $400 million in ransom. [The Wall Street Journal, Aug. 3, 2016]. We will watch to see what Iran will do to IS in Syria.

Currently the President is looking to do the following, we should hear of more strategic details regarding a campaign against IS sometime in February:

●Pursue aggressive joint and coalition military operations to crush and destroy ISIS, international cooperation to cutoff their funding, expand intelligence sharing, and cyber- warfare to disrupt and disable their propaganda and recruiting.
●Defeat the ideology of radical Islamic terrorism just as we won the Cold War.
●Establish new screening procedures and enforce our immigration laws to keep terrorists out of the United States.
●Suspend, on a temporary basis, immigration from some of the most dangerous and volatile regions of the world that have a history of exporting terrorism.

We watch world events to help us maintain our sense of urgency and remind ourselves of the need to overcome, knowing that the return of Jesus Christ is soon. Revelation 16:15; “Look, I am coming like a thief. Blessed is he who watches, and keeps his clothes, so that he does not walk naked, and they see his shame.”—Steven LeBlanc

2017 Stratfor Intelligence Forecast

America...the rot continues

01062017
I subscribe to National Geographic Magazine. The reason I read National Geographic is because about 3 times a year they do an in-depth article on Europe, the Middle East or Asia. I do not subscribe to the magazine to see a confused boy (who thinks he is a girl) put on the cover. I am furious with the publisher of the magazine because of their blatant, sinful agenda! I do not condemn the nine-year-old boy on the cover who lacks parental leadership—and where is the father who should have been there to help his son out of this confusion? The obsession of many in our nation with a decadent, politically correct agenda is shameful. Here are more foolish specimens:

● Sex change operations are now called, “gender reassignment surgery”.
● Atheists are now to be called “brights”.
● Abortion advocates are called “pro-choice”.
● An increasing numbers of people refer to pedophiles as “minor attracted persons or (MAPs)”
● “Non-binary” describes people who see themselves as a gender other than traditionally male or female. A gender fluid person may at any time identify as male or female. An agender, a person who identifies as not having a gender. Homosexuals are “gays”.
● “Illegal aliens” became “illegal immigrants,” then “undocumented immigrants,” then “undocumented workers,”
● Calling someone your “Partner,” is a common expression meaning you are not married to the person, but supposedly defines a partnership relationship as equal; it doesn’t mark gender and doesn’t imply possession—How foolish! We are becoming a nation of “partners”—partnership is now replacing the commitment of Marriage.
● At a growing number of campuses, professors now attach “trigger warnings” to texts that may upset students, and there is a campaign to eradicate “micro-aggressions,” or small social slights that might cause “searing” trauma. According to a “Bias-Free Language Guide” used by the University of New Hampshire, the word “Americanisproblematic” and therefore should not be used. “North Americans often use ‘American’ which usually, depending on the contexts, fails to recognize South America,” the guide explains.
● Current University of California President Janet Napolitano recently issued a list of micro-aggressions that all faculty should avoid using if they want to keep their jobs. This list of taboo micro-aggressions included many common questions and phrases seemingly devoid of any ill intent. One of the banned, supposedly offensive phrases is “America is a land of opportunity.” According to Napolitano and her politically correct cohorts, such a phrase is a form of coded, covert racism that creates a toxic campus culture.
● Morally Liberal, Economic Socialists, and Communists are now to be identified as a “Progressives”.
● According to the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, it is illegal for employers to discriminate against criminals because it has a “disproportionate” impact on minorities.
● Throughout several US councils and organizations, any terms using the word ‘man’ as a prefix or suffix have been ruled as not being politically correct. ‘Manhole’ is now referred to as a ‘utility’ or ‘maintenance’ hole.
● Ghetto is now to be called “Economically disadvantaged area”.
● Gangs became “youth groups”.

God will soon punish us for our corruption: Woe to those who call evil good, and good evil—Isaiah 5:20. Misrepresenting something bad as something that is “good”—Rewording that hides evil or the embracing of “confusion” mocks our Holy Creator.—
Steven LeBlanc

You need to watch Populist Geert Wilders of the Netherlands

12 30 2016A

The “far right” in Europe will continue to surge in popularity going into 2017. Dutch populist candidate (PVV leader) Geert Wilders — who’s currently leading in the polls and is the main favorite to win the Dutch elections in March of 2017 — has quickly criticized Europe’s leaders for their bumbling when it comes to dealing with terrorist events such as we saw in Germany earlier this month.   Speaking to PJ Media, Wilders says:

“This is Europe today. Weak leaders, open borders and Muslim terrorists who freely travel all over our continent wherever they want and kill whenever they see fit. Our governments are asleep, our secret services have no clue at all and our people are killed and in serious danger.”

Anis Amri, the Tunisian terrorist responsible for the attack on a Christmas market in Berlin, fled from Germany to the Netherlands after his vicious crime. In the Netherlands, he took a bus to the French city of Lyon and then took a train to the French Alpine town of Chambery. Finally, he headed to Milan, Italy, where he was shot by the Italian police.  People are shocked that this terrorist could travel through 3 countries without being detected.

Wilders:  “We need to close our borders, get rid of our weak leaders by elections, deIslamize our societies in order to safeguard our liberty and protect our people. We are facing an existential problem here; war has been declared on us and we have to start fighting back.”

There is a crisis of confidence in the European Union’s old political parties. The immigration crisis and open borders that they embraced have enraged citizens throughout Europe.  Wilders is proposing the following:

•Under PVV proposals mosques, Islamic schools and asylum centers will be closed
•the borders will be shut down with a blanket ban on migrants from Islamic countries
•women will be forbidden from wearing a headscarf in public
•and the Koran will be banned.

Wilders is dead serious about implementing these proposals if elected in March.  But to do so he will need more political support from other party members.  The country’s system of proportional representation means that he would need to form a coalition government, and the other parties have vowed they will not rule with him.  A big political fight is unfolding in the Netherlands.

Regardless the outcome of the March election, watching what happens in the Netherland’s upcoming elections is one of our most important priorities during 2017.  We are told in the book of Daniel, that God often removes and sets up leaders according to His purpose and insights: Daniel 2:21– He controls the course of world events; he removes kings and sets up other kings…We watch Europe with intense interest!-Steven LeBlanc

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